Despite expectations of a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, the USD/CHF loses momentum below 0.8100.

In Tuesday's early European session, the USD/CHF loses momentum and hovers around 0.8070.
The Swiss franc, a safe-haven currency, may be impacted by expectations for a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
The possibility of a massive 50 basis point Fed rate decrease was tempered by hot US wholesale prices last month.


Tuesday's early European session saw the USD/CHF pair plummet to about 0.8070. With US President Donald Trump arranging a summit meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy in the near future, the pair's possible drawbacks may be minimal given the optimism around a truce in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

Trump stated on Monday that any agreement to end the war with Russia will include assistance from the United States (US) to ensure Ukraine's security. The 30 countries that made up the "Coalition of the Willing" agreed to coordinate their efforts with the United States and guarantee Ukraine's security.

Following a meeting with European leaders on Monday, Trump is arranging for Zelenskiy and Putin to meet. Trump said that during his talks with the European leaders, he spoke with Putin over the phone about the proposal. The Swiss franc (CHF) may suffer if the need for safe havens is tempered by optimism surrounding the Russia-Ukraine talks.

However, the likelihood of a more aggressive policy easing by the Fed, which may support the Greenback in the near future, is diminished by a spike in US wholesale prices last month and a strong gain in July's retail sales data. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders of Fed fund futures are currently pricing in an 83% chance of a September Fed rate drop, after briefly fully pricing in a move last week.

Later on Friday, traders will be watching the Fed's annual Jackson Hole conference for additional clues on the US economy and interest rate trajectory. In the short term, any dovish comments made by Fed officials could cause the USD to decline.